TCE Rate (Time-Charter Equivalent)

MB Capital Strategies Glossary — Updated June 2026

TCE Rate (Time-Charter Equivalent) is the single most important metric in shipping stock analysis. It converts every contract type — spot voyage, time-charter, COA — into one standardized number: daily net revenue per vessel ($/day).

TCE Formula

TCE Rate = (Freight Revenue − Voyage Costs) ÷ Voyage Days

Voyage costs include: bunker fuel (the largest variable), port fees, canal tolls, and loading/discharge costs. Time-charter revenues are already net of these costs, so TCE = hire rate. Spot voyages need the calculation.

Why TCE Rate Matters for Dividend Investors

Shipping dividends are paid from free cashflow — and free cashflow tracks TCE rates closely. A tanker earning $50,000/day vs. $30,000/day generates roughly 67% more distributable cash per vessel. That's why shipping stock prices and dividends fluctuate with freight rates.

Real Example — TORM Q1 2026:
TCE rates: $44,800/day (vs. $55,200/day Q1 2025)
Fleet: ~85 MR tankers
Q1 2026 dividend: $0.70/share (paid June 11)
YOC on $25 entry: ~11.2% annualized
Lower rates → lower dividend. The relationship is direct and transparent.

TCE vs. Spot Rate vs. Time-Charter Rate

These three terms are often confused:

A company with 40% time-charter coverage at $35,000/day and 60% spot exposure at $50,000/day would report a blended TCE near $44,000/day for the quarter.

TCE and Break-Even Rate

Every shipping company has a daily operating break-even — typically $15,000–$25,000/day for modern tankers. The spread between TCE and break-even is the profit margin per vessel. When TCE rates compress toward break-even (as in the 2020 trough at ~$8,000/day for VLCCs), dividends are cut or suspended entirely.

Related Terms

Related Analysis:
Hafnia 2026: Product Tanker TCE & 8% Dividend →
Best Tanker Stocks 2026 — Ranked by Yield →
Shipping Cashflow Calculator (TCE-based) →
Not investment advice. All figures are examples for educational purposes. Actual TCE rates vary by vessel type, market conditions, and contract terms. Sources: company Q1 2026 earnings releases, Clarksons Research.
Marco Bozem
Marco Bozem

Independent hard-asset investor. Covers shipping, mining & energy dividends from a real private-investor portfolio.

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