Free Cash Flow (FCF)

MB Capital Strategies Glossary — Updated June 2026

Free Cash Flow (FCF) is the cash a company has left after paying for operations and capital expenditures. It is the real fuel behind dividends — a company cannot pay more in dividends than it generates in cash, regardless of what the income statement shows.

FCF Formula

FCF = Operating Cash Flow − Capital Expenditures (Capex)

Operating cash flow comes from the cash flow statement (not the income statement). Capex includes maintenance spending and growth investments. The difference is the free cash available to return to shareholders.

Why FCF Beats EPS for Hard-Asset Stocks

Earnings per share (EPS) can be distorted by non-cash items that do not affect actual cash generation. In shipping and resource stocks, three common distortions make EPS unreliable:

FCF strips away these distortions and shows actual cash available for dividends.

Real Example — BW LPG Q1 2026:
Reported NPAT: ~$235M (inflated by $137M unrealized MtM derivatives)
Shipping operating income ex-MtM: ~$98M
Dividend declared: $0.67/share (×149.5M shares = ~$100M)
Management paid dividends based on shipping NPAT (ex-MtM), not total reported earnings. Knowing this difference is the difference between understanding and misreading the payout.

FCF Yield

FCF Yield = Free Cash Flow per Share ÷ Stock Price × 100

FCF yield tells you how much cash the company generates relative to its market value. A high FCF yield suggests the stock is cheap relative to its cash generation — often a signal that the dividend is well-covered and potentially growing.

Mining Example — BHP FY2025:
FCF per share: ~$3.20 (AUD)
Stock price: ~$38 (AUD)
FCF yield: ~8.4%
FY2025 dividend: $1.38/share (AUD)
FCF payout ratio: ~43% — sustainable with room for growth

Maintenance vs. Growth Capex

Not all capex is equal. Maintenance capex keeps existing assets running (fleet dry-docking, mine sustaining costs). Growth capex expands capacity (new vessels, mine expansion). For dividend assessment, use operating FCF minus maintenance capex only — this is sometimes called distributable cash flow or adjusted FCF.

Related Terms

Related Analysis:
Free Cash Flow Deep-Dive for Hard-Asset Investors →
BW LPG Q1 2026: FCF vs. Reported NPAT →
Not investment advice. Free cash flow figures are from company earnings releases and may reflect management adjustments. Always read the full earnings report and footnotes. Capital expenditure cycles in shipping and mining can significantly reduce FCF in specific quarters.
Marco Bozem
Marco Bozem

Independent hard-asset investor. Covers shipping, mining & energy dividends from a real private-investor portfolio.

About Marco →YouTube