Cash Flow

MB Capital Strategies Glossary — Updated June 2026

Cash flow is the actual cash moving in and out of a business — not accounting profits. For dividend investors, cash flow is the number that actually matters: dividends are paid from cash, not from reported earnings.

Three Types of Cash Flow

Operating Cash Flow (OCF) is cash generated from day-to-day operations — shipping freight, selling commodities, collecting rent (REITs). It's the most important operational health indicator.

Capital Expenditures (CapEx) are cash spent on maintaining or expanding the asset base: drydocking a tanker, building a new mine shaft, replacing pipelines. This cash is consumed, not earned.

Free Cash Flow (FCF) is what remains after CapEx — and it's what funds dividends, buybacks, and debt repayment.

Free Cash Flow Formula

FCF = Operating Cash Flow − Capital Expenditures

Why Cash Flow Beats Earnings for Dividend Analysis

Net earnings can be manipulated by depreciation, amortization, and accounting choices. Cash flow cannot. A shipping company with $200M in earnings but $250M in drydock CapEx has negative free cash flow — no dividend capacity regardless of the profit figure.

Real-World Example (Shipping): A VLCC tanker generating $45,000/day TCE rate × 350 sailing days = $15.75M gross revenue per vessel. After crew, fuel, and maintenance (OpEx ~$8M), OCF = ~$7.75M/vessel. CapEx for scheduled drydock every 2.5 years (~$2-3M amortized) = FCF of ~$5M/vessel/year available for dividends.

Cash Flow Margin

Cash flow margin = FCF ÷ Revenue. Mining companies typically target 20-35% FCF margins at mid-cycle commodity prices. REITs use FFO payout ratio (Funds From Operations) instead of FCF since real estate depreciation distorts standard cash flow.

FCF Yield: The Investor Metric

FCF Yield = Free Cash Flow per Share ÷ Share Price

A stock trading at FCF yield of 8-12% is typically cheap for a cyclical business with stable free cash. Below 3-4% is expensive. Many shipping stocks in 2022-2024 traded at 20-40% FCF yield at peak freight rates — signaling exceptional dividend capacity.

Cash Flow in Shipping Stocks

Shipping is a capital-intensive business with lumpy CapEx (vessel purchases/drydock). The key cash flow cycle: high freight rates → high OCF → dividends + potential fleet expansion → market normalizes → lower OCF → dividend resets. Understanding this cycle is essential for TCE Rate investing.

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Marco's personal selection: Shipping, Energy, Mining, REITs with YOC ≥8% + payout analysis. Updated quarterly.

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Related Glossary Terms

Free Cash Flow (FCF) · Payout Ratio · Dividend Yield · TCE Rate · Capital Expenditure (CapEx) · EBITDA

About Marco Bozem · Full Glossary · Best Tanker Stocks 2026

Marco Bozem MB Capital Strategies Dividend Analyst

Marco Bozem

Investor & Analyst | Hard Assets, Dividends, Shipping | MB Capital Strategies

Marco analyzes commodity and dividend stocks with focus on Shipping, Mining, and Energy. All analysis is based on publicly available reports and personal judgment. Not investment advice.

MB Capital Strategies — All content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing involves risk of loss.