Debt/EBITDA Ratio

MB Capital Strategies Glossary — Updated June 2026

The Debt/EBITDA ratio (also written as Net Debt/EBITDA) tells you how many years a company would need — at its current earnings power — to pay off all its debt. It is the single most-watched leverage metric among lenders, analysts and equity investors in capital-intensive sectors like shipping, mining, pipelines and energy.

Formula

Debt/EBITDA = Net Debt ÷ EBITDA (trailing 12 months)

Net Debt = Total Debt − Cash & Equivalents

A ratio of 2.0x means the company could theoretically repay all net debt in two years from operating cash flow (before capex and taxes). A ratio of 5.0x means five years — and that is where lenders typically start getting uncomfortable.

Sector Benchmarks (Hard Assets 2026)

SectorComfortable RangeWarning ZoneRed Flag
Dry Bulk / Tanker Shipping< 2.5x2.5x – 4.0x> 4.0x
LNG / Gas Shipping< 4.0x4.0x – 6.0x> 6.0x
Mining (diversified)< 1.5x1.5x – 3.0x> 3.0x
Midstream / Pipeline< 4.5x4.5x – 6.0x> 6.0x
Upstream E&P< 1.5x1.5x – 2.5x> 2.5x

Pipelines and LNG carriers can carry more debt than miners or tankers because their revenues are largely contractual — long-term take-or-pay agreements provide predictable EBITDA that lenders trust. Dry bulk and tanker shipping is the most cyclical, so lenders demand lower leverage.

Why It Matters for Dividends

Hard rule Marco uses: When Net Debt/EBITDA rises above 3.5x in cyclical sectors (tankers, mining, E&P), dividend sustainability becomes questionable. Above 4x, a variable-dividend model or outright cut is increasingly likely — regardless of what management says in earnings calls.

Most shipping companies and miners operate variable-dividend policies tied to cash flow. A rising Debt/EBITDA ratio typically signals one of three things: rates have fallen (EBITDA shrinking), the company made a large acquisition (debt jumped), or both. In either case, the dividend is at risk before the balance sheet is repaired.

Practical Example — FLEX LNG (FLNG):
FLEX LNG operates 13 LNG carriers with long-term charters. At ~$1.1bn net debt and ~$400m EBITDA (2025 estimate), the ratio runs around 2.7x — comfortable for a gas carrier with multi-year contracts. This supports the $3.75/share annual dividend. If EBITDA fell to $250m (e.g. charter roll-offs at lower rates), the ratio would jump to 4.4x and the dividend would face pressure. This is the exact risk to monitor when LNG charter renewals approach.

Debt/EBITDA vs. Other Leverage Metrics

MetricFormulaBest Use
Net Debt/EBITDANet Debt ÷ EBITDABroad leverage check, most widely used
Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest ExpenseCan the company service its debt today?
Debt/EquityTotal Debt ÷ EquityBalance sheet structure, less relevant in asset-heavy sectors
Debt/Total AssetsTotal Debt ÷ Total AssetsAsset coverage, useful for ship/mine valuations

How to Find It

The ratio is almost never disclosed explicitly on the income statement. You build it from the balance sheet and income statement:

  1. Take Total Borrowings from the balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt).
  2. Subtract Cash & Short-Term Investments to get Net Debt.
  3. Pull EBITDA from the income statement (Operating Profit + D&A), or from the earnings release where it is usually stated explicitly.
  4. Divide Net Debt by EBITDA. Most companies also state this ratio in the debt covenant section of their annual report.

Covenant Risk

Many shipping and mining companies have bank loans with Debt/EBITDA covenants — e.g. "ratio must not exceed 4.5x at any quarter-end." A covenant breach triggers a technical default even if the company has not missed a payment. This is why monitoring this ratio quarterly matters: a breach forces renegotiation, often at higher interest rates, and frequently triggers a dividend suspension as the company tries to rapidly reduce debt.

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Marco Bozem MB Capital Strategies Hard Asset Investor

Marco Bozem

Investor & Analyst | Hard Assets, Dividends, Shipping | MB Capital Strategies

Marco analyses commodity and dividend stocks with a focus on shipping, mining and energy. All analyses are based on publicly available annual reports and his own assessment. Not investment advice.

Disclaimer: All content on this page is for educational and informational purposes only. Nothing here constitutes investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions. Marco Bozem may hold positions in companies mentioned. © 2026 MB Capital Strategies.