Freight Rates

MB Capital Strategies Glossary — Updated June 2026

Freight rates are the prices paid for transporting cargo by sea. They represent the primary revenue source for shipping companies — and the single biggest driver of shipping stock performance and dividends.

How Freight Rates Are Quoted

Voyage Charter ($/ton or Worldscale points): A per-voyage rate for transporting a specific cargo between two ports. Tanker rates are often quoted in Worldscale (WS) points, where WS 100 = a reference rate calculated by Worldscale Association. VLCC AG-East WS 60 means 60% of the reference rate.

Time-Charter Equivalent (TCE $/day): The voyage rate converted to a net daily earning, after deducting port costs, fuel, and canal fees. This is the standard comparison metric — see TCE Rate for details.

Key Freight Rate Benchmarks

Tanker Freight Rates:

• VLCC (Arabian Gulf to Far East): ~$20,000-80,000/day depending on cycle
• Suezmax (West Africa to Europe): ~$15,000-60,000/day
• Aframax/LR2 (Mediterranean/North Sea): ~$12,000-50,000/day
• MR (Product tanker, clean): ~$10,000-35,000/day

Dry Bulk Freight Rates:

Baltic Dry Index (BDI): Composite of Capesize, Panamax, Supramax, Handysize rates
• Capesize (iron ore/coal, 180,000+ DWT): $5,000-60,000+/day
• Panamax (grain/coal, ~80,000 DWT): $8,000-30,000/day

LNG/LPG Charter Rates:
• LNG carriers: $60,000-100,000+/day (long-term TC), or spot $40,000-150,000+ during demand spikes
• VLGC (LPG): $25,000-80,000/day

Supply and Demand Drivers

Freight rates are set in a global auction market — every day, shipowners and cargo owners negotiate prices. The key supply-demand drivers:

Demand drivers: Global trade volume growth, commodity production cycles, ton-mile demand changes (longer routes = higher demand), seasonal import patterns (heating oil winter, grain harvest).

Supply drivers: Fleet size (active vessels), vessel delivery schedule from shipyards, scrapping of older vessels, drydock schedule reducing available tonnage.

Ton-Mile Effect (2022-2026): Russian crude exports shifted from Europe (short haul, ~10-15 days) to Asia (long haul, ~35-45 days). The same 3 mb/d of crude suddenly required 3× the vessel utilization. This structural demand shift sustained elevated freight rates even as absolute trade volumes normalized.

Freight Rate Cycles and Investment Timing

Freight markets are notoriously cyclical. The key insight for investors: shipping stocks lag freight rates by 1-3 quarters. By the time consensus recognizes a freight cycle, the best entry points are often gone. Marco's approach: enter when the orderbook-to-fleet ratio is below 10%, new vessel deliveries are 2+ years away, and spot rates are beginning to recover from a trough.

How Freight Rates Impact Dividends

For spot-market shipping companies (TORM, Frontline, DHT, Hafnia), the dividend math is mechanical: freight rate → TCE → operating cash flow → dividend. A VLCC tanker moving from $30,000/day to $60,000/day doubles the per-vessel cash flow available for distribution. This is why variable shipping dividends can move 100-400% in a single year — not management discretion, but pure market mechanics.

📊

Top 10 High-Yield Hard Asset Stocks — Free PDF

Marco's personal selection: Shipping, Energy, Mining, REITs with YOC ≥8% + payout analysis. Updated quarterly.

Not financial advice. Unsubscribe anytime. GDPR compliant.

Related Glossary Terms

TCE Rate · Charter Rates · Day Rate · Baltic Dry Index · Spot Market · VLCC

About Marco Bozem · Full Glossary · Best Tanker Stocks 2026

Marco Bozem MB Capital Strategies Shipping Stock Analyst

Marco Bozem

Investor & Analyst | Hard Assets, Dividends, Shipping | MB Capital Strategies

Marco analyzes commodity and dividend stocks with focus on Shipping, Mining, and Energy. All analysis is based on publicly available reports and personal judgment. Not investment advice.

MB Capital Strategies — All content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing involves risk of loss.